Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Florida 2022 elections. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteran William Johnson, who sits on the city's Board of Adjustments. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. For more information, see The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Heres a summary of the current state of play. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. Current 3CP count: 1. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). I think this is more important then people think. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and Macnamara in 2019. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Twitter: @JDGallop. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. Harkin moved into IT, in business development and project management and then started her own small business developing bespoke databases and digital widgets. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. So let's figure it out. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. She is a single mother and has four adopted children, two of which are from overseas. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. I don't have a top three issues. 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